Predictive Cybersecurity Risk Modeling in Healthcare by Leveraging AI and Machine Learning for Proactive Threat Detection
Temilade Oluwatoyin Adesokan-Imran
*
University of Ibadan, Oduduwa Road, 200132, Ibadan, Oyo, Nigeria.
Anuoluwapo Deborah Popoola
Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, UK.
Valerie Ojinika Ejiofor
University of Tampa, 401 W Kennedy Blvd, Tampa, FL 33606, United States of America.
Ademola Oluwaseun Salako
Sam Houston State University, 1905 University Ave, Huntsville, TX 77340, United States of America.
Ogechukwu Scholastica Onyenaucheya
Prairie View A&M University, Texas, 100 University Drive, Prairie View, Texas 77446, United States.
*Author to whom correspondence should be addressed.
Abstract
This study investigates the application of artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) in predictive cybersecurity risk modeling within the healthcare sector. Given the increasing digitization of healthcare systems and the corresponding rise in cyber threats, it is crucial to develop proactive measures to safeguard sensitive patient data. To achieve this, the study employs quantitative methods and publicly available datasets to analyze risk patterns and evaluate the effectiveness of AI-driven models. Specifically, the research utilizes the Verizon Data Breach Investigations Report to examine threat prevalence, the CIC-IDS 2017 dataset to assess a Random Forest classifier, the Stanford AI Index Report to identify implementation challenges, and IBM’s Cost of a Data Breach Report to quantify AI's operational impact. The Random Forest model demonstrated high performance, achieving an accuracy of 92.7%, precision of 89.9%, recall of 90.5%, and an F1-score of 90.2%. Healthcare organizations leveraging AI experienced a significant 26% reduction in data breach costs and resolved incidents 36% faster compared to non-AI adopters. Key challenges identified include internal threats, regulatory compliance issues, and workforce skill gaps. To address these challenges, the study recommends targeted workforce training, strategic compliance alignment, the adoption of behavioral threat detection techniques, and the establishment of federated learning partnerships to enhance healthcare cybersecurity resilience.
Keywords: AI in cybersecurity, predictive risk modelling, random forest classifier, healthcare data breaches, federated learning